Lee Wins Strongest Mandate Since Democratization, Drives Property and Regional Reform

Mid-Term Assessment of President Lee's First Year Ruling Party Victory Secures Governing Momentum Regional Investment Incentives, Public Agency Relocation Balanced Development Tasks to Accelerate Election Day: "Escape from Real Estate Speculation Republic" Tax Reform May Include Property Holding Tax Adjustment

Politics|
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By Jeon Hee-yoon
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null - Seoul Economic Daily Politics News from South Korea

The Democratic Party's recapture of local power for the first time in four years in Wednesday's nationwide local elections has given President Lee Jae-myung strong momentum to drive his policy agenda. As the election was widely seen as a referendum on Lee's first year in office, the ruling party's landslide victory effectively reaffirms public confidence in the administration. Building on the win, Lee is expected to push aggressively on key initiatives such as the "5 Mega-Regions, 3 Special Zones" balanced regional development strategy and the normalization of the real estate market.

As the vote count revealed a sweeping Democratic victory, political observers said, "The government and ruling party have secured the strongest political mandate since democratization in 1987." The Moon Jae-in administration also won decisively in the 2018 local elections, taking 14 of 17 metropolitan posts, but was constrained by a divided National Assembly. The Lee administration, by contrast, controls a parliamentary majority through the Democratic Party, giving it virtually unrestricted leverage.

Political commentator Park Sang-byung said, "The ruling party's landslide in what was the first midterm assessment since the Lee administration took office reflects the public's intent to back the government's policy agenda going forward." He added, "On this foundation, President Lee will move much faster than before to address pressing issues including the economy — exchange rates and debt — as well as trade, foreign affairs and security, and real estate," and predicted, "From his second year in office, he will seek tangible, visible results."

Balanced regional development is expected to top the agenda. So far, the administration has only outlined the vision of its "5 Mega-Regions, 3 Special Zones" strategy — reorganizing the country into five mega-economic areas (Seoul Capital, Southeast, Daegu-Gyeongbuk, Central, and Honam) and three special autonomous zones (Gangwon, Jeju, and North Jeolla). With strong local political control now secured, the policy is expected to take concrete shape with implementation of detailed tasks.

Core industries for each of the five mega-regions and three special zones are expected to be finalized, and support measures for the linked "Mega Special Zones" will likely take shape. The government plans to enact a "Special Act on the Designation and Management of Mega Special Zones," covering regulatory exemptions, R&D, and tax and fiscal incentives. In April, the Democratic Party held a policy meeting on key balanced-growth issues with the government and presidential office, setting passage of the Mega Special Zone Act within this year as a goal. Efforts to establish a fiscal framework for local governments to enable robust decentralization, and to complete the administrative capital — including a presidential office and National Assembly chamber in Sejong — are also expected to accelerate.

The push to normalize the real estate market, which Lee has emphasized as part of balanced regional development, is also likely to gain momentum. The plan adopts a "two-track" approach combining regulation and supply, using strong rules to suppress home-price gains while diverting capital flows away from real estate and toward financial markets. The government has reiterated its commitment to delivering 1.35 million homes in the greater Seoul area and another 60,000 units in prime locations as previously announced.

Attention is also turning to whether July's tax reform package will include changes to property holding taxes. Industry watchers say the government has so far moderated its regulatory messaging on real estate to avoid antagonizing voters in the capital region. But with Seoul apartment prices climbing again and the local elections now over, holding-tax adjustments could come as early as next month. The long-term holding deduction for non-resident single-home owners and the comprehensive real estate tax are expected to be included in the overhaul.

On election day, Lee posted on X (formerly Twitter): "Korea's home and real estate prices are already far too expensive." He stressed, "We must escape being a republic of real estate speculation, achieve a great transition to a startup nation, and develop into an irreplaceable core country."

Other pressing tasks include managing the triple burden of high inflation, high exchange rates, and high interest rates aggravated by Middle East conflict, along with reforms in finance, regulation, and labor; completing prosecutorial reform; and elevating Korea into one of the world's top three AI powers. Lee's plan to enhance both labor stability and flexibility simultaneously — requiring cooperation from both unions and industry — is expected to face friction.

The presidential office has refrained from detailed comment on the election results, maintaining a cautious posture. Before the vote, Lee urged turnout on X, writing, "As Plato said, did you vote to avoid being ruled by the worst?" About an hour later, he added, "Now, with the power of the great Korean people, Korea must move beyond a catch-up nation, beyond a leading nation, to an irreplaceable core nation. We can absolutely get there, and we are already on our way — provided we don't give up voting and choose capable and faithful workers."

There is also speculation that the presidential office will launch a personnel reshuffle following the election. Prime Minister Kim Min-seok has been repeatedly mentioned as likely to step down to run in the Democratic Party convention, and at least three to four cabinet ministers are expected to be replaced.

Original reporting by Jeon Hee-yoon for Seoul Economic Daily.

AI-translated from Korean. Quotes from foreign sources are based on Korean-language reports and may not reflect exact original wording.

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