
▲ AI PRISM* Customized Economic Briefing
*Editor's Note: 'AI PRISM' (Personalized Report & Insight Summarizing Media) is an 'AI-based customized news recommendation and summary service' developed with support from the Korea Press Foundation. It selects and delivers six tailored news items for each reader type.
[Key Issue Briefing]
■ Samsung Electronics (005930.KS) Memory Super Cycle in Full Swing: Samsung Electronics posted first-quarter operating profit of 57.2 trillion won, beating the market consensus of 40.2 trillion won by 42.3%. The DS division swept approximately 53 trillion won, accounting for 93% of total profit. DRAM contract prices surged 39.8% in a single quarter, and the AI-driven memory boom is analyzed as the key driver behind the results.
■ Middle East-Driven Cost Shock Spreads in Earnest: POSCO raised prices across all steel product categories by 50,000 won per ton for the second quarter and simultaneously increased end-user prices, signaling that cost pressures have reached a critical point. Hyundai Steel (004020.KS) is also pursuing price hikes of the same magnitude, making cost burden increases unavoidable for downstream industries including automotive, shipbuilding, and home appliances.
■ Defensive Capital Shift Accelerates Amid Volatile Market: Net assets of covered call ETFs grew by 1.2554 trillion won in one month to reach 19.3898 trillion won, while MMF net assets surpassed the 250 trillion won mark for the first time. As the stock market swings back and forth, the migration of investment capital toward yield stability is becoming increasingly evident.
[News of Interest to Stock Investors]
1. Operating Profit 320 Trillion Won This Year, 488 Trillion Won Next Year… Aiming to Overtake Nvidia for World No. 1
- Key Summary: Samsung Electronics' first-quarter operating profit of 57.2 trillion won set a landmark record by exceeding the company's entire previous-year annual profit of 43.6011 trillion won in a single quarter. DRAM and NAND flash contributed approximately 44 trillion won and 10 trillion won in profit respectively, driving overall results. DRAM contract prices surged 39.8% in one quarter, while NAND flash prices soared 208.8%. On a global operating profit basis, Samsung has overtaken Alphabet to secure a top-four position. According to FnGuide, the highest full-year operating profit forecast for this year reaches 321.736 trillion won. Meritz Securities noted that the memory cycle has only approached its midpoint, projecting that operating profit could reach as high as 488 trillion won by 2027, potentially surpassing Nvidia.
2. Morgan Stanley: "Middle East War Cuts Korea's 2025 Growth to 1.8%… Second Supplementary Budget Possible in H2"
- Key Summary: Morgan Stanley lowered its 2025 South Korea GDP growth forecast by 0.3 percentage points from 2.1% to 1.8% due to Middle East geopolitical tensions. Weakening non-semiconductor export recovery and inflation driven by rising oil prices are expected to slow consumption, with consumer prices projected to peak at 2.8% in the second quarter. The first supplementary budget is estimated to boost GDP growth by approximately 0.15 percentage points, and a second supplementary budget in the latter half of the year has also been raised as a possibility. Morgan Stanley expects the Bank of Korea's rate hike timeline to be pulled forward by three quarters to the fourth quarter of 2026, with the terminal rate reaching 3.0%.
3. War Shock Triggers POSCO Steel Price Hikes Across All Products… Burden Grows for Auto and Shipbuilding Sectors
- Key Summary: POSCO raised prices across all steel product categories for both distributors and end-users by 50,000 won per ton starting this month, and Hyundai Steel is pursuing price increases of the same magnitude. Australian coking coal prices climbed from $217 per ton at the start of the year to $237, compounded by elevated exchange rates and rising shipping costs, pushing cost pressures beyond manageable levels. An anti-dumping investigation into low-cost Chinese steel products has restricted import inflows, creating conditions for price normalization, according to industry assessments. The steel price hikes are expected to ripple through downstream industries including automotive, shipbuilding, home appliances, and construction in stages, making expanded cost burdens unavoidable for related sectors.
[Reference News for Stock Investors]
4. Defensive Investing Amid Volatile Market… Covered Call ETFs Grow by 1.2 Trillion Won in One Month
- Key Summary: Domestic covered call ETF net assets reached 19.3898 trillion won, increasing by 1.2554 trillion won in one month, with growth accelerating compared to the year-end 2024 figure of 15.0373 trillion won. The KOSPI plunged from the 6,200 level in late February to the 5,050 level intraday last month before rebounding to the 5,400 level, strengthening preference for defensive assets amid heightened volatility. The KODEX 200 Target Weekly Covered Call's monthly distribution rose steadily from 213 won in January to 252 won in March. However, covered call strategies cap gains when bull markets fully materialize, making assessment of market conditions critical, analysts noted.
5. Korea's First BDC Sets Sail, But Cautious on Listing Timeline
- Key Summary: Shinhan Asset Management launched investor recruitment for Korea's first BDC (Business Development Company), the "Shinhan Innovative Enterprise Growth Investment Trust No. 1." The management fee is set at 1.04% annually, lower than the venture fund average of 2%, with performance fees collected only when returns exceed 8% annually. The fund adopts venture secondary and credit strategies as core investment approaches, aiming to reduce business uncertainty while pursuing faster capital recovery. However, the search for investment targets and delays in National Assembly review of the Special Tax Treatment Control Act amendments related to tax benefits mean that an actual KOSDAQ listing is expected to take considerable time.
6. Chipflation Fallout Hits DX With Negative Growth… Next Month's General Strike Also a Variable
- Key Summary: Samsung Electronics' DX division first-quarter operating profit is estimated at approximately 4 trillion won, down about 7% year-on-year. The division was unable to fully pass on the "chipflation" shock — with mobile DRAM and other component prices surging more than 80% quarter-on-quarter — into its selling prices. The joint union strike committee has announced an 18-day general strike starting May 21, demanding the abolition of the performance bonus cap, covering both the DS and DX divisions. If the strike materializes, disruptions to semiconductor production lines and second-half new product schedules are considered unavoidable.
▶ Related article: War Shock Triggers POSCO Steel Price Hikes Across All Products… Burden Grows for Auto and Shipbuilding Sectors
▶ Related article: Chipflation Fallout Hits DX With Negative Growth… Next Month's General Strike Also a Variable






