Oil Price Surge Drives Consumer Inflation to 2.2% as Petroleum Costs Lead Gains

■ AI PRISM

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By Kang Do-won
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null - Seoul Economic Daily Technology News from South Korea

▲ AI PRISM* Customized Economic Briefing

*Editor's Note: 'AI PRISM' (Personalized Report & Insight Summarizing Media) is an 'AI-based customized news recommendation and summary service' developed with support from the Korea Press Foundation. It selects and provides six tailored news stories for each reader type.

[Key Issue Briefing]

■ WGBI Inclusion and Bond Market Surge: Korean government bonds were included in the World Government Bond Index (WGBI) starting on the 1st, drawing net purchases of approximately 4.7 trillion won from foreign investors — led by Japanese funds — over four days. While the massive liquidity inflow has caused trading volumes to surge, frontline operations are under considerable strain due to the mandatory requirement to report each transaction to the Korea Financial Investment Association within 15 minutes.

■ Energy Price Spike and Inflation Pressure: In the wake of the U.S.-Iran war, Dubai crude surged from the $80-per-barrel range to approximately $130, pushing petroleum prices up 9.9% in March and lifting consumer prices 2.2%. Had the government not implemented a petroleum price cap funded by a 5 trillion won supplementary budget, petroleum price increases would have reached an estimated 30%-plus.

■ Intensifying Digital Asset Competition in Finance: As Korea Investment & Securities reviews acquiring a stake in Coinone, Shinhan Financial Group has established an AX-Web3 Academy and is aggressively recruiting specialists, intensifying the race to dominate the digital asset market. Coupled with Mirae Asset Group's acquisition of Korbit and Naver Financial's pursuit of a merger with Dunamu, the broader financial sector is moving in earnest to secure virtual asset platforms.

[News of Interest to Financial Product Investors]

1. Foreign Investors Net Buy 4.7 Trillion Won in Government Bonds… '15-Minute Reporting Rule' Causes Chaos on the Ground

- Key Summary: With Korean government bonds included in the WGBI starting on the 1st, foreign investors including Japan's Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) net purchased approximately 4.7 trillion won in government bonds over four days (March 30–April 2). Given that foreign net purchases of government bonds totaled 9.5 trillion won last month, nearly half that amount flowed in within just four days. Meanwhile, the massive capital inflow has concentrated 400 to 500 over-the-counter bond trades per day at some foreign banks. The current regulation requiring reports to the Korea Financial Investment Association within 15 minutes of each transaction is creating a significant operational burden on the ground. Experts point out the need to build a system that can efficiently monitor OTC trading by leveraging existing infrastructure such as the Korea Securities Depository.

2. March Petroleum Prices Surge 9.9%… "Could Have Jumped Over 30% Without the 5 Trillion Won Supplementary Budget"

- Key Summary: According to the 'March Consumer Price Trends' released by the National Data Agency, the consumer price index rose 2.2% year-on-year last month, driven by a 9.9% increase in petroleum prices. Dubai crude surged from the $80-per-barrel range to approximately $130, and diesel prices jumped 17%, outpacing gasoline at 8.0%. Starting March 13, the government implemented a petroleum price cap limiting refinery supply prices and injected approximately 5 trillion won in supplementary budget funds. This resulted in price reductions of approximately 200 won per liter for gasoline and approximately 500 won per liter for diesel and kerosene. However, Ahn Dong-hyun, a professor of economics at Seoul National University, warned that "it is appropriate to view this as an early stage of expanding uncertainty, as it takes time for the energy price shock to spread across all sectors," adding that inflationary pressure could intensify further if the war becomes prolonged.

3. Australia, World's No. 2 LNG Exporter, Also Reviews Export Controls… Energy Supply Chain 'Every Nation for Itself'

- Key Summary: Australia, the world's second-largest LNG (liquefied natural gas) exporter, is reviewing the activation of the Australian Domestic Gas Security Mechanism (ADGSM) — which prioritizes domestic supply over exports — in response to the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Australia is the country from which Korea imports the most LNG (approximately 31% share), and activation of the mechanism would directly impact Korea's domestic energy supply. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is formalizing plans to collect transit fees on the Strait of Hormuz and is expected to pass the collection plan as early as next week. If the transit fees are implemented, Korea could face additional annual costs of approximately $620 million (about 940 billion won), assuming up to $2 million per vessel.

[Reference News for Financial Product Investors]

4. KOSPI Operating Profit Reaches 245 Trillion Won Last Year… Growth Rate Halved Excluding Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix (000660)

- Key Summary: According to the Korea Exchange (KRX) and the Korea Listed Companies Association, combined operating profit at 626 December-settling companies listed on the KOSPI reached 244.7882 trillion won last year on a consolidated basis, up 25.39% year-on-year. However, excluding Samsung Electronics (005930) and SK hynix, the operating profit growth rate drops sharply to 10.76%, underscoring a pronounced concentration in large-cap semiconductor stocks. By sector, IT services (19.47%), electronics and electrical equipment (54.59%), and pharmaceuticals (58.27%) led earnings improvement, while non-metals (-54.14%), paper and wood (-95.59%), and transportation and warehousing (-36.04%) saw profitability deteriorate. Additionally, the number of companies reporting net profit declined from 485 (77.48%) the previous year to 471 (75.24%), while loss-making companies rose to 155 (24.76%), indicating that many companies have yet to recover profitability.

5. Korea Investment & Securities Also Eyes Virtual Asset Exchange… Explores Stake Acquisition in Coinone

- Key Summary: Korea Investment & Securities, a subsidiary of Korea Financial Holdings, has reportedly begun an internal review of acquiring a stake in Coinone, a top-three domestic virtual asset exchange. With Mirae Asset Group acquiring Korbit and Naver Financial pursuing a merger with Dunamu, operator of Upbit, Korea Investment & Securities is also accelerating efforts to secure a virtual asset exchange while consulting with financial authorities on regulatory matters. Coinone founder and CEO Cha Myung-hun holds a total 53.44% stake, and share sale speculation has emerged as financial authorities push to limit major shareholder stakes in exchanges. Securities firms harbor ambitions to gain an edge in the security token (ST — securities issued and distributed using blockchain technology) market by internalizing blockchain-based payment and settlement expertise.

6. "Seize Digital Asset Leadership"… Shinhan Financial Absorbs Talent

- Key Summary: Shinhan Financial Group has established an 'AX-Web3 Academy' under Shinhan Bank's AX Innovation Group and has been recruiting Web3 and AI specialists across the board since the beginning of the year to secure leadership in the digital asset market and accelerate its AX (AI Transformation). Shinhan Financial Group Chairman Jin Ok-dong has set targets of cultivating 1,000 core specialists and transforming general staff into 'AI natives' within the year. The group is pursuing practice-oriented training that combines project-based learning (PBL) and workflow learning rather than lecture-centric programs. Shinhan Financial Group and Jeju Bank also unveiled 'DJ Bank,' a digital corporate banking brand developed in partnership with Douzone Bizon (012510), and presented a corporate finance model based on enterprise resource planning (ERP) data. The plan is to develop this into an 'autonomous finance' platform that integrates data, AI, and stablecoins (virtual currencies pegged to the value of fiat currencies).

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▶ Go to article: March Petroleum Prices Surge 9.9%… "Could Have Jumped Over 30% Without the 5 Trillion Won Supplementary Budget"

null - Seoul Economic Daily Technology News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Technology News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Technology News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Technology News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Technology News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Technology News from South Korea

AI-translated from Korean. Quotes from foreign sources are based on Korean-language reports and may not reflect exact original wording.