China's Top Economist Says 8% Growth Possible

Lin Yifu, Head of Peking University's Institute of New Structural Economics · "4.5%–5% Is Merely a Minimum Target" · "8% Growth Possible, Like Korea in the 1980s" · "Iran Conflict Poses Shock, but Impact Less Than on Other Countries"

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By Jung Da-eun, Beijing Correspondent (Commentary)
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null - Seoul Economic Daily International News from South Korea

Lin Yifu, head of Peking University's Institute of New Structural Economics and one of China's most prominent economists, predicted that China's economic growth rate this year could exceed 5%, with potential growth reaching as high as 8%. This has drawn attention as it far surpasses the government's official target of 4.5%–5%, the lowest growth target in 33 years.

At a recent session of the "Linza No. 7 Salon" held at the Beijing International Club in Beijing, Lin stressed that "the 4.5%–5% target this year is merely a minimum target," adding that "as long as no major shock occurs, China has the potential to achieve growth beyond that." Lin is widely regarded as a leading reformist economist known for his optimistic outlook on the Chinese economy. He is famous for his remarkable career trajectory — from a Taiwanese military officer who defected to the mainland to serving as Senior Vice President of the World Bank. He served as a counselor to China's State Council from 2013 to 2023 and has continued to provide policy advice to the Chinese government.

null - Seoul Economic Daily International News from South Korea

AI-translated from Korean. Quotes from foreign sources are based on Korean-language reports and may not reflect exact original wording.