Samsung Reclaims Global Smartphone Crown in Q1 on Galaxy S26 Success

Samsung Beats Apple by 2%P to Take Top Spot · IMF to Lower Growth Forecast · China Q1 Report Card Released · US-Iran Talks Collapse, Hormuz Strait Gridlock May Persist

Finance|
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By Kang Do-won
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null - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea

▲ AI PRISM* Customized Economic Briefing

*Editor's Note: 'AI PRISM' (Personalized Report & Insight Summarizing Media) is an 'AI-based customized news recommendation and summary service' developed with support from the Korea Press Foundation. It selects and provides 6 customized news items for each reader type.

[Key Issue Briefing]

■ Samsung Electronics (005930.KS) Reclaims Global Smartphone Throne on Galaxy S26 Success: Samsung Electronics captured 22% of the global smartphone market share in the first quarter, overtaking Apple (20%) to reclaim the top spot. However, with mobile DRAM and NAND prices surging 90% quarter-on-quarter and an additional 30% increase expected in Q2, analysts say cost pressures will be a key variable determining profitability in the second half.

■ IMF Growth Forecast Downgrade Possibility Adds to Macroeconomic Uncertainty: The IMF will release its World Economic Outlook on the 14th, with speculation that Korea's growth rate could be slightly lowered from the existing 1.9% to the mid-1% range. The OECD has already cut its forecast from 2.1% to 1.7%, and the Bank of Korea also expects growth to fall below its previous 2% projection, reflecting spreading concerns over an economic slowdown.

■ US-Iran Talks Collapse Raises Concerns of Prolonged Hormuz Strait Gridlock: The United States and Iran walked away empty-handed after 21-hour marathon negotiations, strengthening expectations that the Strait of Hormuz blockade will continue. With international oil prices exceeding $100 per barrel and import prices rising for eight consecutive months, the energy cost burden is intensifying.

[News of Interest to Stock Investors]

1. Galaxy S26 Proves a Winner… Samsung Reclaims the Throne

- Key Summary: Samsung Electronics reclaimed the No. 1 spot by capturing 22% of the global smartphone market share in Q1, overtaking Apple (20%), driven by the success of the Galaxy S26 series. Domestic pre-orders reached a record 1.35 million units, while global pre-orders increased more than 10% compared to the previous model. In the second half, Samsung's 'Galaxy Z Wide Fold' and Apple's first foldable phone are set to compete, making foldable competition a key battleground for the year's market dynamics. Mobile DRAM and NAND prices have surged 90% quarter-on-quarter, and the annual market size is expected to contract by approximately 15% due to cost pressures and macroeconomic uncertainty.

2. IMF to Release Korea Growth Forecast… March Employment Data in Focus

- Key Summary: The IMF will announce revised Korea growth figures through its World Economic Outlook on the 14th, with speculation that the rate could be slightly lowered from 1.9% to the mid-1% range. With the February youth unemployment rate hitting 7.7%, the highest in five years, the March employment data to be released on the 15th has emerged as a key indicator for gauging whether youth employment weakness will persist. In the United States, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley will report Q1 earnings, and the Federal Reserve will release its Beige Book two weeks ahead of the FOMC meeting. With the US-Iran two-week ceasefire in effect, analysts expect US corporate earnings to be the key variable determining market direction for now.

3. 'Hormuz, Nuclear, Sanctions' - Three Red Lines Reconfirmed… US Pressures Iran by Blocking Oil Exports

- Key Summary: The first ceasefire talks between the United States and Iran, held in Pakistan 42 days after the outbreak of hostilities, collapsed after 21 hours of marathon negotiations. Both countries held firm on their red lines regarding key issues including reopening the Strait of Hormuz, handing over all highly enriched uranium, and lifting sanctions. Iran's semi-official Tasnim News Agency reported that "the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed until an agreement is reached," while the WSJ analyzed that Iran has preserved significant elements of its nuclear development program to use as negotiating leverage. If no breakthrough is reached by the ceasefire expiration date of the 21st, geopolitical risks could further escalate, including intensified Israeli attacks on Lebanon, according to analysts.

[Reference News for Stock Investors]

4. Power Demand to Surge by 2040… "Renewables Alone Cannot Handle It"

- Key Summary: The government plans to hold the first public discussion on the 12th Basic Plan for Electricity Supply and Demand later this month and release its 2040 power demand forecast. Power demand in 2040 is expected to well exceed 760 TWh, with a steeper increase projected compared to the 11th plan trajectory due to accelerating electrification and AI policies. Energy security risks are also emerging as approximately 15% of imported LNG passes through the Strait of Hormuz. The Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade noted that a 2% interest rate increase would raise renewable energy generation costs by 20%, compared to only 11% for gas power generation. Experts say establishing a flexible power mix strategy is urgent.

5. Stock Investment Craze Drives Shift to 'Brokerage ISA'… Securities Firms Phasing Out Trust-Type

- Key Summary: Brokerage-type accounts now represent 71% (41.7 trillion won) of the 58.97 trillion won in ISA investments, and the reduction of trust-type ISAs is spreading across the industry. Among the top 10 securities firms, only Samsung Securities, NH Investment & Securities, and Korea Investment & Securities still accept new trust-type enrollments, with Mirae Asset Securities also suspending new enrollments as of the 1st of this month. Within brokerage-type accounts, stocks account for 36%, overseas ETFs 29.6%, and domestic ETFs 16.4%, clearly showing a preference for direct investment. With even existing trust-type subscribers switching to brokerage-type accounts, the concentration trend is expected to continue for the time being.

6. A Spear That Pierces Defenses - Can It Also Be Used as a Shield? Wall Street's 'Mythos Dilemma'

- Key Summary: Major Wall Street banks including Goldman Sachs, Citi, Bank of America, and Morgan Stanley are internally testing the security features of Anthropic's AI model 'Mythos.' Mythos scored 83.1% in CyberGym evaluations, overwhelming the previous top model Opus 4.6 (66.6%), and is regarded as the first case of autonomous execution of tasks that would take human experts more than 10 hours. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Fed Chair Jerome Powell urgently summoned major bank heads to strongly recommend Mythos adoption, elevating AI security to a top priority for the US administration. Anthropic is providing preview access only to 50 companies participating in 'Project Glasswing' due to misuse concerns, and central banks including the Bank of Canada are also busy responding to AI-driven cyber threats.

▶ Read full article: Power Demand to Surge by 2040… "Renewables Alone Cannot Handle It"

▶ Read full article: Vape Shops Hit Hard by Regulation… 'Nicotine Substitute' Balloon Effect Concerns

null - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea
null - Seoul Economic Daily Finance News from South Korea

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Original reporting by Kang Do-won for Seoul Economic Daily.

AI-translated from Korean. Quotes from foreign sources are based on Korean-language reports and may not reflect exact original wording.

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